India's high growth decade

Managing Debt

77% incl States, more than 50% of the GDP in the Central Budget

Reducing Deficit

7% and unlikely to get down from here for some time, it's a hard stop

Expensing on Welfare

Spending on Job creation, Sponsoring infrastructure creation,
market building, subsidising exports/imports..we have all heard it now
( even in the US). Hoping for private Sector bounce back, It's all
there..PIIGS, Germany, USA, India, China, Australia...

Sponsoring Reforms

FRBM, Bank Reforms, Building lasting Institutions

Irrelevant: What we are telling you also is that the US is
also on a high growth path in the new decade because of the hidden
role of these two enablers above? Unproven, Churlish and no, it just
ain't true. Not like that. But Reganomics for the US, Defcit Financing
and Printing for the New Markets..is a proven starting point.

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The first market of India- Retail Financial Services and Banking

 

Random Tweets from a Saturday

Saving Media http://ow.ly/14wL1 , Also IPL and Indian Financial Services Advertising..stretching the rupee into hinterland access

Lady Kidwai taking TV Opp with Bloomberg as opportunity to push women's agenda.. duh! women in I banking. HSBC rdy for ABN ..will RBI oblige

Even in India HSBC does need a leg up in tech when compared to Citi but its brand equity is much better than any other. http://ow.ly/14wIq

HSBC Invest India looking like a distress sale candidate http://ow.ly/14wGF

HSBC's new branches in Nagpur, Nasik take it to 50 branches plus 30 from ABN? Micro Lending, Retail & Bancassurance lead http://ow.ly/14wFM

HSBC picked itself up for another day in India. ABN adds $10 billion in India , biggest player in India after ICICI, SBI http://ow.ly/14wEv

I have to be away but the game lives on http://ow.ly/14wqJ Down Colts! It's Drew Brees who's the best #saints #SB44 #superads

Losing PIIGS would be a scary prospect, but Euro zone can't cough up money for them in Greece, Spain, Ireland or Italy and Portugal #Europe

Choose and click through to your favorites from our best as ranked here http://ow.ly/14wkl#postrank #marketing

Typing customers in China and Dubai to super previews for supersunday! We've come up a lot last week http://ow.ly/14wjp #postrank #marketing

Eye Openers dot the Global Markets across the DOW the Euro Zone and even China and India.. Feverish February? http://ow.ly/14wdW

Blankfein settles for $9m in 2010 ( stock saleable in 2015 after the next bust ;lol ) JP Morgan pays $17m all stock bonus http://ow.ly/14wc7

LIC, ICICI Bank only investors in the French Auction (at 209/210 rumored yesterday) NTPC scrapes through http://ow.ly/14waE

IPL got into the live streaming game pretty early. Ustream gets funded $75mhttp://ow.ly/13vZ4

Online video viewership http://ff.im/-fsTL5

With each viewer watching 187 videos per month in the U.S...Live streaming could be the catchall | Advantage Social http://bit.ly/99sO8J

HSBC'S NAINA LAL KIDWAI IN INTERVIEW ON BLOOMBERG UTVi , Tweetstorm aired at ADVANTAGE ZYAADA properties after bank results week was over

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ENERGY

Kirit Parikh report released today, recommends freer market pricing and a longer term solution for the Indian Oil Energy majors. The implementation and adoption by Pranab’s government of course is dependent on political and economic convenience.

The Oil Industry cannot support the burden of subsidies with the internal prices of Oil fluctuating in a wide band. Mr Parikh pegs losses at Rs 40000 Crs annually for the Oil companies. A Rs 6 increase in the price of Kerosene ( lower end derivative) is recommended. As losses on petrol are Rs 3 per liter, a price rise of Rs 4.70 per liter on Petrol and Rs. 2.30 per liter on Dieel are likely if free pricing is implemented ( State owned Oil companies)

ONGC and OVL to share the burden of subsidy with the government to the extent of early blocks granted by nomination and funded by the government

GAIL free from subsidy sharing formula because it has no production facilities

Rail Freight to catch on as the cost of diesel per Kilo Tonne per Kilometer is 20% of Road transport costs

KP recommends freeing of Petrol and Diesel Pricing at Retail

Also, Kerosene subsidy should be granted to families based on Smart Card and UID

AVIATION

Aviation major Jet negotiated a 11% stake in GMR MAS Hyd Airport Engg Company for fleet maintenance of Jet as per an MOU signed earlier in January

Jet Airways also improved Domestic yields by 24% in the final Quarter of 2009 and the industry is hoping for business and premium class demand revival in the coming two quarters. supply side controls and lower fuel prices also contributed to the increased yield

POWER / DIVESTMENT

NTPC issue pricing should flummox investors even as Power Grid and REC get in line. SAIL has got approval for a 10% Offer for sale and a 10% issue of new shares in the coming year and next. Steel Authority performance is no longer an industry benchmark, while NTPC’s lead in the Power sector is also likely in question as Power Distribution and Transmission become central to Policy.

MUTUAL FUND INDUSTRY

The Mutual Fund Industry's innovative Liquid Plus schemes that now constitute 40% of the Rs 735000 Crore ( INR 7.35 trillion) Industry may soon be switched out as Government takes cognizance of the differential tax treatment ( Individuals 14%, Corp 22%) vs. Liquid Schemes 33%. Also RBI had earlier challenged banks on parking excess cash in these money market schemes with Mutual funds as more than Rs 1.35 trillion is parked in such schemes.

RETAIL LIFESTYLE

ITC Fortune has reported 2000 new rooms planned under the budget franchise in the next 2-3 years. 9 new hotels are coming online in 2010, 25 by 2014 which will be close to 6000 rooms

Maruti Suzuki led a great Indian Auto revival bringing sales of 175000 Cars in January domestically. Adding at least 50 K in Exports from Hyundai and Maruti alone, the figure, if repeated through the year could finally break the hold of 2- 3 wheelers in economic reporting, lol

INOX bought 200 additional screens into its fold with a 43% investment in Fame Cinemas, each screen costing them between 1.3 to 1.7 crores or $300K much below the market cost of $500K of setting up a new screen. It is increasingly looking unlikely that PVR will complete its purchase of DT Cinemas.

We have tweeted and carried in-depth analysis of each of these deals, subjects and factors in India's new journey. Call us on 'hyperchat' if you need a breaking tweet.

 

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