The retail consumption level off - Hero reports lower Q4
Wednesday, May 4, 2011
Profits year on year are down 16% and the auto number s for March have definitely scared observers as well. The profit deceleration is hihger than expected ( misses Bloomberg poll estimates by 2% ) Sales growth numbers are respectable yoy like for others as Bajaj Auto and Maurti, Hyundai ( even yoy pretty bad)
India just does not have the profile to switch to SME players in this age and till the dollar gets to levels of below Rs 40 to a Dollar, the Trillion Ruipee EV companies are likely to be good enough for PE or individual global portfoliso. Index ETFs are anyway 75% of the FDI with $1 bln per month likely to continue. disposable incomes allowed food and fuel inflation without concerns yet, but going forward the larger imported inflation and the transmission to manufacturing and the retail demand curves ( durables, autos, services) have been the immediate market concerns that need facts to displace the pessimism
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