India vs China : ( A likes comparison) Chinese inflation ticks down to 3.4%
Thursday, May 10, 2012
While Indian inflation is likely to step out of the sub 7% mark on the wholesale levels to more than 8% following the retail index, Chinese inflation ticked up to 3.4% leading to a reaction in the morning's Asian opening. Chinese imports were up only 3% like for India at $37.9 bln with not just Oil but in India's case two thirds of the Diamonds and Gems trade shutdown and Gold and Silver imports are down by a third from a government increase in import duties. The tradedeficit thus comes to below $160 bln at the cost of over $100 bln in Exports according to the trends explained by the Govt official, after the first month of the Fiscal at Data release yesterday
Chinese inflation easing further may not be a good thing as it also follows a drastic fall in demand consumption, the bulwark china is relying on to stimulate growth though outgoing Premier Wen Jiabao has been vocal in the last few months against the culture of imported consumption items in China. We felt more comfortable for China at the 3.6% mark for inflation in March as it was within the 4% mark and Banks though restricted by opportunity on Lending had still managed healthy Q1 profits
Asian Economies of India and China's leadership in growth is a required element for the continued recovery in Western markets and limiting of European troubles though European trade continues to favor banana policies and non South Asian economies for trade and investment hopes. India on the other hand reported new FDI of $ 8 bln in March but the Exxport slowdown and the increasing inflation from the 21% depreciation in the Rupee int he last six months will hurt growth and consumption with Automobiles sales in April already down to 4% growth or 235,000 units for April including Exports. Ford, Nissan and others would be increasing exports from the added capacity in their indian plants from this year
India is hoping to get a further $1 Tln in Infrastructure funding from private funds to quasi SWF structures sponsored by banks and government
Related articles
2012 India Economic Survey(awardz.wordpress.com)
India FDI Report (March 2012)(awardz.wordpress.com)
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How China's drive to lower its surplus went awry(theglobeandmail.com)
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